Sunday, November 30, 2025

“A Pious Fraud”—More on the Placebo Effect

One of the first articles I ran on this blog addressed the placebo effect.  The topic wasn’t one I would normally have chosen.  When people are in pain, they don’t need to be given a pill and sent on their merry way.  They need help. 

Shortly after I re-published that article earlier this year, I came across another article on the placebo effect.  The author, Brian Resnick, presented several more points and more recent research that merit consideration, particularly in a society where access to medicine and health care is diminishing.  I highly recommend reading his article; the address to it is provided below.  However, what we really need to know can be summarized as follows:

Reviews of pain-drug clinical trials over the past 25 years have shown that the placebo response is growing, especially in the US.  (The researchers didn’t offer any explanation why.  Maybe Americans are all going soft in the head.)  They are also finding that the placebo effect isn’t just increasing in pain medicine, but also with antidepressants and anti-psychotics. 

For thousands of years, healers of various stripes the world over have employed the placebo effect.  Whether in the form of sugar pills, talismans, and/or rituals, all recognized that many patients made improvements with their “treatments”.  Of this phenomenon, Thomas Jefferson wrote to Dr. Caspar Wistar:  “One of the most successful physicians I have ever known, has assured me, that he used more bread pills, drops of colored water, powders of hickory ashes than of all other medicines put together.  It was certainly a pious fraud.” 

That pious fraud, an act of innocent deceit technically using the methods of a fraudster but for an honest, honorable purpose, definitely has a place in treating our family members when there is no doctor available.  The placebo effect is real, it works, and we really ought to become familiar with how to use it to our best advantage. 

First off, we need to keep in mind that the placebo effect isn’t just a single phenomenon.  There are several different elements involved, from simple to complex.

Regression to the mean is one that parents around the world use all the time.  I’d hardly call it a placebo.   It’s basically “time heals all wounds.”  While that may not be quite correct, the idea is that in the natural course of an illness, the symptoms eventually resolve on their own.  A child in pain seeks his mother out for comfort.  She gives him a kiss, perhaps cuddles a bit in more serious situations, and then shortly the child is off playing again.  When people seek medical care, the symptoms are usually bad (hence the reason for the doctor visit).  Often, the patients improve without drugs or a placebo.  They just needed some time.  Interestingly, clinical research on depression has shown that about a third of patients improve without any drugs or placebo. 

Confirmation bias occurs because a patient hopes to improve under treatment, so he changes his focus. He pays more attention to signs that he’s becoming better and ignores signs indicating that he’s getting worse.

Awareness and perception contribute to pain relief.  Post-operative patients needed twice as much morphine to achieve the same pain relief when the drug was administered by a hidden robot pump as when it was injected by a caring nurse they could see.  Knowing that you’re being given a pain reliever impacts the perception of its efficacy.

We’ve all seen examples of the above aspects of the placebo effect throughout our lives and hardly consider them placebos.  They are just normal life and normal human behavior.  The following phenomena, however, are a bit more intriguing and may certainly come to play a significant role in a society where licensed medical care is limited or non-existent.

Pharmacological conditioning.  In clinical studies on Parkinson’s patients, Dr. Luana Colloca has switched the Parkinson’s medication after several days to usage to a placebo.  On the fifth day, the placebo apparently triggers a response in the brain similar to the real drug.  The same thing can happen with opioids.  The researchers note that this pharmacological conditioning only works when the drug/placebo is acting on a process that the brain can do naturally.  They liken the phenomenon to Pavlov’s dogs; as the dogs learned to associate the sound of the bell with food and would begin to salivate, the human brain learns to associate taking a pill with relief, and the brain starts producing the chemicals to initiate that relief. 

So, can this pharmacological conditioning be employed to extend a patient’s drug supply?  In a Finnish study in 2012, researchers used a sweetened drink to condition an immune response to a placebo.  Healthy volunteers were given a flavored drink and an immunosuppressant drug for several days.  Then, without the volunteer’s knowledge, the immunosuppressant was replaced with a placebo on one of the days.  Their bodies still exhibited a diminished immune response.[1] 

Social learning occurs when patients see other patients achieve relief from a placebo.[2]

A caring caregiver, one of the most important elements to creating a successful placebo effect, was the focus of the previous Prep School Daily blog article on the placebo effect.  Basically, it’s not just about the pills.  A warm, caring doctor or nurse or other provider fulfills much the same role as the medicine man of old. Those rituals of care may be absolutely essential to the patient’s well-being.    

Placebos seem to be most effective with symptoms that fall between the physical and psychological.  A 2010 review of over 200 drug trials showed that placebos were more effective with pain, nausea, asthma, and phobias.[3]  Research published in the New England Journal of Medicine focused on four groups of asthma patients. 

  • Group 1 received an inhaler with albuterol, a drug that dilates the airway.
  • Group 2 received an inhaler with a placebo.
  • Group 3 received sham acupuncture (needles withdrawn before touching the skin).
  • Group 4 received nothing. 

Lung function was evaluated based on the patients’ self-report and by an objective measure of lung functioning.  According to the self-report (what the patients reported), the albuterol inhaler, placebo inhaler, and sham acupuncture were all about equally effective (45-50% improvement).  However, objective measure of lung function using spirometry showed that only the albuterol inhaler actually improved airflow.

The placebo effect only works with symptoms that can be controlled by the brain.  The asthma patients didn’t actually have improved lung function.  They only thought they did.  Sometimes that is enough.  An asthma patient who under stress about not having an inhaler is going to experience worsening symptoms simply due to the stress.  If that same patient thinks a placebo is working, he experiences less stress, and symptoms don’t worsen.  When there are no other options for treatment, that may be worth something.  It may be enough. 

A placebo isn’t going to work when an antibiotic is needed to kill the bacteria.  It might work to alleviate pain due to the infection somewhat. 

As noted in the previous blogpost on the placebo effect, patients don’t even have to anticipate that the placebo will work.  So many have already been to a dozen doctors without achieving any relief.  And yet, the placebo can still be effective.  Dr. Colloca hypothesizes that there is a difference between belief and expectation; patients may not believe a treatment will work, but they still subconsciously expect that it will.  She suggests that patients still have a conditioned memory for taking medication and being in a physician’s care.  It’s that memory that elicits the analgesic effect in the brain. 

In conclusion, as Dr. Cynthia Koelker writes in Armageddon Medicine: “Doing anything at all is nearly always better than doing nothing.  Placebos, which have no physical basis for helping, still do so about a third of the time. Hope is a natural narcotic, and people will try a multitude of peculiar and likely ineffective therapies on the basis of hope alone.  This is also how so many crackpot therapies work their way into the health care field.  Anything, even a sugar pill, will help somebody….  As a physician I struggle with the need to be honest with my patients versus the desire not to deprive them of the placebo effect.  Modern medicine prides itself on “truth.”  But for anyone who believes in a certain therapy, even one proven by medical science to be ineffective, for that individual the relief is real.  After an Armageddon event, the placebo effect may be a doctor’s strongest ally.  A placebo may be a pill, a procedure, an activity, or a dressing.  Whatever you do, choose your placebos wisely and first, do no harm.” 

Links to related posts:

The Placebo Effect

References

https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-weird-power-of-the-placebo-effect-explained

https://memory.loc.gov/service/mss/mtj/mtj1/038/038_0687_0692.pdf



[1] Antje Albring, et al., Placebo effects on the immune response in humans: the role of learning and expectation, PLoS One, 2012, Vol 7 No 11, https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3504052/ (accessed 27 October 2021).

[2] L. Colloca, et al., Placebo analgesia induced by social observational learning, Pain, July 2009, Vol 144 No1-2), https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/19278785/ (accessed 27 October 2021).

[3] Asbjorn Hrobjartsson, et al., Placebo interventions for all clinical conditions, Cochrane Library, 20 January 2010, https://www.cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.1002/14651858.CD003974.pub3/abstract (accessed 27 October 2021).

 

Saturday, November 29, 2025

Storing Canned Goods for the Long-Term in Humid Areas

Seven years ago, when my family and I moved from the high, dry desert to the very humid Midwest, I had a lot of new lessons to learn about food storage.  Some rules were just entirely different.  It was quite the shocker.  No longer did sandwiches need to be eaten right after they were made.  

But that was just the beginning.

Salt could no longer be stored simply in the cardboard cartons on the shelf.  Especially canning salt.  It would clump up.  

Plastic buckets couldn't just be set on the cement.  So much moisture would accumulate underneath.  Not good.    

And this was with a dehumidifier or air conditioning running all the time.  What happens if there is no AC or dehumidifier running?

What we didn't notice until much later was that the cardboard boxes that held our #10 cans were wicking moisture from the air to the cans inside.  And the boxes were also wicking moisture from the cement to the bottoms of the cans.  Naturally, the way we do our food storage is to put the very most expensive items in metal cans.  

Which cans started to rust shortly after we arrived in Missouri.  

But which we did not notice until much, much later.  

Grrrr....

So we had a decision.  We could take measures to protect our canned goods, or we could move back to the desert.

We chose the desert.  

But for those of you who happen to not have that choice, or happen to love the humidity, here's how to protect your canned goods.  

Consider removing the paper labels in more humid areas.  I never had a problem with the paper labels rusting cans in my area, but we did have the AC and dehumidifier running.  I'm not sure what would happen without them.  I have read reports of people in super humid areas having problems with the paper labels wicking moisture to the cans and rusting them.  The whole humidity thing is just very bizarre to me still. So remove the label, but don't forget to label the contents of the can and date it first. 

Protect your cans with a wax coating.  To do this, make sure your cans are completely dry.

Next, melt paraffin wax in a double boiler.  An empty #10 can makes a great container for the paraffin and keeps your regular bowls and pans clean.  To protect your hands from the sharp edges of the can, cover the rim with duct tape.  

Use canning tongs to dip both ends of the can in the wax. 

If, however, you live in a really humid area, you may wish to paint the whole can with paraffin.   Set the dipped cans on a cake cooling rack to dry.

Do not store your cans in or on cardboard, unless you dipped the whole can in paraffin.  

Another option is to coat cans with a very thin layer of food- or medicine-grade mineral oil.  Unfortunately, the mineral oil attracts dust which will need to be removed before opening the can. 

Links to related posts:  
Long-Term Food Storage    
The Ins and Outs of Oxygen Absorbers   
Amounts of Various Foods That Buckets Will Hold and How To Store Them   
Reusing Glass and Plastic Bottles for Food Storage 

For further reading:
https://www.usaemergencysupply.com/information-center/self-reliance/food-storage-frequently-asked-questions/corrosion-prevention-of-canned-goods

Friday, November 28, 2025

Amounts of Various Foods That Buckets Will Hold and How To Store Them

In reality, especially in a situation where society has collapsed for whatever reason, it is the women doing the cooking.  If you're in a larger group, more reality is that it's the older women doing the cooking.   And in reality, reality bites.  Those buckets get heavier as women get older and it gets harder to wrangle them.  

The grains and beans that emergency preparedness stores sell often come in six-gallon buckets.  And that sounds really great.  You get a lot of food, usually around forty-five pounds of wheat or beans in those buckets.  And then you think about hauling around one of those buckets.  It doesn't sound like fun.

Home Depot and Lowe's sell five-gallon buckets.  (Last I checked, they weren't food-grade.  But if you are lining your buckets with Mylar bags, then it's ok.)  When filled, they're still too heavy for me.  

We started off our married life with getting larger buckets from the hotel my husband worked at.  Then we got them from doughnut shops and grocery store bakeries.  And over the years, we've noticed that the buckets just keep getting smaller.  It's not necessarily a bad thing.  I just can't handle the larger buckets very well anymore, at least not when they're filled with food, other than oats.  So the five-and six-gallon buckets that used to hold wheat and beans are now used for oats and lightweight medical supplies.  

I much prefer getting the four-gallon buckets from the local doughnut shop.  It's a much more reasonable size for my physical capabilities which seem to be diminishing with the years. (And I'm not that old!  Yet.)  And because they're free, they match my financial capabilities as well.  If you're younger and larger, the larger buckets will work just fine for you.  They did for me for many years.  But if you've got a smaller frame or you're older, smaller buckets may be the way to go.  Use what works with your family and your storage plans.  
Keep in mind that some items are just better stored in cans or mylar bags, especially more expensive foods that spoil quickly with exposure to air or moisture, or things you really don't use very often.  For our family, that would include milk, powdered eggs, dehydrated and dried foods, and freeze-dried anything.

We use the buckets for our long-term storage foods like wheat, rice, flour, sugar, beans, and pasta.  The general rule of thumb is that each bucket will hold about twenty-five pounds of food. Of course, this varies slightly, but for quick mental calculations about how much food will fit, and how many buckets you will need, as well as figuring out how much space they will take, it works.  Each is also exactly twelve inches wide.  Most are HDPE (#2) buckets, but some are PP (#5), also a safe choice.  All are with gasketed lids. 

When filling buckets, tap them to settle contents down and fit more in.  It's essential to get them packed compactly and get as much air space out as possible for the oxygen absorbers to work properly.  So while it is definitely more convenient to just put twenty-five pounds of food in a bucket, regardless of whether the bucket is filled, it is better to fill the bucket completely and then add the oxygen absorbers so that all the oxygen can be removed.

For optimal long term storage, use Mylar bags inside your buckets.  Fill the Mylar bags with food, add the appropriate number of oxygen absorbers, and seal.  However, if you are really good about rotating your food, the Mylar bags are not necessary.  If your wheat, rice, oats, and beans are going to be used within five years, the Mylar isn't needed. 

The chart below provides estimates only for the amount of food that will fit in each bucket or can.  Your results will vary based on how much you are able to tap your buckets or cans and settle the contents.


Food
4 gallon bucket
5 gallon bucket
6 gallon bucket

Pounds of food
Oxygen absorber capacity
Pounds of food
Oxygen absorber capacity
Pounds of food
Oxygen absorber capacity
Corn
28
1200
37
1500
45
2000 cc
Flour
26
1200
33
1500
40
2000
Popcorn
27
1200
33
1500
39
2000
Rice
26
1200
33
1500
40
2000
Wheat
28
1200
36
1500
44
2000







Quick oats
15
3000
18
4000
21
5000
Rolled oats
16
3000
20
4000
24
5000







Macaroni
17
2400
21
3000
25
4000
Penne pasta
10
2400
15
3000
20
4000
Spaghetti
23
2400
29
3000
35
4000







Black beans
28
2400
37
3000
45
4000
Kidney beans
28
2400
37
3000
45
4000
Lima beans
26
2400
33
3000
40
4000
Pinto beans
26
2400
33
3000
40
4000
Small white
28
2400
37
3000
45
4000
White beans
26
2400
33
3000
40
4000







Lentils
28
2400
37
3000
45
4000
Split peas
28
2400
37
3000
45
4000







Potato flakes
10
3000
12.5
4000
15
5000







Sugar
28
None
35
none
42
none
Brown sugar
23
None
29
none
35
none
 
Also note that if you live at an altitude above 4,000 feet, you need about twenty percent less oxygen absorber capacity.


STORING BUCKETS OF FOOD

Once you have more than a few buckets of food, you start wondering about where to put them all.  If you’ve got a large family and you’re storing food to last more than a couple of months, you’ve got a real conundrum on your hands.  

Keep in mind that your buckets will not last forever.  Sunlight (hopefully you are not storing your food in the sun, as that’s a really bad idea) and age will deteriorate plastic, as will putting excessive weight on the buckets.  

Under most conditions, buckets should only be stacked three to four high, with the heaviest buckets being on the bottom.  I do stack mine higher, but the higher ones contain only the lightest of items—medical supplies like gauze and masks, and fiber from my girls’ sheep and rabbits—all of which weight only a pound or two at most.  Yes, they could be stored in other ways, but the buckets are rodent-, moth-, and water-proof.  Actually, I guess I should say rodent-resistant.  We’ve never had any rodents chew through our buckets, or even make an attempt, but I have read of others having a problem.  

Because plastic is not completely impermeable, the buckets should not be stored directly on concrete.  If necessary, put some 2x4 boards underneath to raise them above the concrete. 

Links to related posts:  
Oxygen Absorbers  
HDPE and LDPE   
Long-Term Food STORAGE  

Bucket Wrenches 
 
For further reading:
https://preparednessadvice.com/food_storage/how-much-food-will-fit-in-a-5-gallon-bucket/
http://foodstoragemadeeasy.net/2011/03/10/10-cans-and-5-gallon-buckets-how-much-can-they-hold/
https://s3.amazonaws.com/yohsresourcelibrary/how+much+will+it+hold.pdf
https://www.usaemergencysupply.com/information-center/packing-your-own-food-storage/how-much-food-fits-in-a-container
https://www.usaemergencysupply.com/information-center/packing-your-own-food-storage/using-food-storage-buckets-and-containers

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  10.30.21